Dallas without Howards, van Horn, Harris and Griffin. Davis is missing for the Warriors. Nevertheless dalls is handicapped more since they got no one against J-Rich now.
He will keep it close. I expect a low scoring game where 10.5 points are just too much for a spread.

The Suns score almost 110 points per game at home this season.
They have also been kinda sloppy lately allowing 108 points per game in their last 5 games.
I am not saying that Portland would come near to 108 tonight but they will definitely put up 95+ points. Phoenix does not play D period.

It might look like a trap because Portland has been scoring barely 80 points in their last 5 games at the road but they played the Cavs and the Nets for example in those games.
They have a 3 day rest and should be not having any fatigue problems. Expect them to keep up with the Suns running all up and down the whole game.

Since the Suns have been a little sloppy lately, losing 5 of their last 8 straight up (1 loss was at Portland!!!) they will be pumped today. Talking about being pumped, AMARE IS BACK!!! He probably won't play much in this game but it's definitely a huge motivation factor!

I expect the Suns to score at least 120 points tonight and Portland to reach the 95+ mark.

Both teams combine for 203.8 points total over their last 5 games.
Both teams are running the floor pretty well too lately. If they will reach a decent FG% tonight this over looks good to me.

Jason Richardson shooting the lights out and Baron Davis finally back.
Since the Warriors are not defending well Charlotte should get their easy points too.
I expect the Warriors to win and both teams should reach the 100 point mark.

I did like the over as it started at 213 and i like it even more now that it went down to 208. This should be a fast paced game with a lot of shooting.
With Iverson and Pierce both teams have 2 scorers that are pretty hot right now. I expect both of them to get 35+ points today. With a little help from the their team mates and a decent FG% and some average 3 point shoothing this over looks good to me.

Celtics went 11-4 over in the second half of the season.
Sixers went 9-5 over in the second half of the season.

The Golden State Warriors seek their eighth win in a row over the Atlanta Hawks, and fourth straight season-series sweep when the teams meet at Philips Arena.

This is a rare non system bet for me.

I play this game because I really like the matchup. With Davis back the Warriors are the way better team. They need this win.

I know everyone does like Atlanta on this one because they have been playing good ball lately but Baron Davis is one of the best point guards in the NBA and will bring back the winning to his team. Remember how the Warriors started into this season with everyone beeing healthy?

*****
Davis only had limited action due to his injury.

This game should be very slow paced. Rockets will slow the game down and try to force turnovers. As far as i know T-Mac will play. If he will be out i like the under even more.
Both teams are holding their opponents down to a shooting percentage of 43%.

Wolves are 12-3 Under after a win by 10 points or more.

Houston is 5-1 Under when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season.

With Baron Davis back in their line up the Warriors should become the high scoring game they used to be with him on the floor. This is gonna be a fast game with a lot of good shooters and scorers on both teams.

The Hawks are letting opponents shoot 48.2% at their home games and allow 101.2 points per game.

Hawks are also 19-10 Over on home games.
Warriors are 5-0 Over in road games where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points.

What is wrong with the Jazz?
Yesterday they scored only 81 points against a team that has no defense at all.

No further writeup for this one, sorry.

(All bets are based on a complex formula. The writeup is formal).

Suns are just killing the boards and put up 120+ points over their last 5 games.
This is just a bad matchup for the Hornets. They don't have anyone to stop the Suns hot guns.

Suns should win this one easily by double digits and put up about 120 points.

Here are some stats for the Total line:

-Suns are 5-0 Over in their last 5 games
-Suns are 13-5 Over after 3 or more consecutive wins
-Hornets are 4-0 Over versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season

I like this game mostly because of the Suns scoring power. They do run even more lately and the Hornets have to do so too if they want to compete tonight.

This game is all about:

-the firepower from Lewis and Allen
and
-the non existing defense from the Sonics.

Utah is 5-1 Over as a road underdog of 3 points or less.
Utah is 14-8 Over when playing against a team with a losing record.
Utah is 17-11 Over in road games.
Utah is 11-5 Over versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game.

Sonics are 39-20 Over in all games.
Sonics are 21-3 Over as a favorite.
Sonics are 22-6 Over at home.

These trends just go on and on.

Utah also did push their average of points made per game to 97.6 over the last 5 games.

Pistons are 1-8 Under when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season.
Pistons are 2-12 Under second half of the season.


(All bets are based on a complex formula. The writeup is formal).